An interesting report came out from William Frey at Brookings. Non-white births are now 49% of all American births. And growth in major cities is now almost entirely made up of minorities (98% of population growth in major cities was due to non-whites). Two good graphs in the report. First, on the racial composition by age:
Second, on the “cultural generation gap” — those states with the largest (and smallest) gaps in the % white in the population (again, by age).
It will be interesting to see the political impact of these processes on these states, what kinds of pressures will be placed on white women’s fertility (and constraints on non-white women’s), and what kinds of policies will be attempted to stop this transition.
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I expect to see the first impacts in funding for public education and child health services, actually.
There’s a few mistakes in the y-axis of Fig. 1: I think it should read “36–49” and “75+”.