You wouldn’t believe the amount of science that went into this post if I told you, so I’m not even going to try.
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9 Comments
I went with 338 as my prediction for the office pool here and on the Controlling Authority blog. But the 378 scenario was kind of my second choice. It seems like if things start to fall on the high side of the Obama prediction, this seems to me like he how it would end up. I think Montana and Arizona are out of reach.
I’m not sure what to say as the North Carolina local here. It’s exciting to live in a bona fide swing state! I went up to the Roxboro area with a colleague from English this weekend to encourage “sporadic voters” to vote — we knocked on 25 doors or so and got a sense of what North Carolina politics is like outside the rarified Triangle area. Response was pretty positive, and there are lots of Obama signs around (though at least as many McCain signs too). Turnout is already incredibly high (roughly 40% of registered voters voted early, which puts us on track to beat all recent records for turnout overall). It’s also raining across most of the state. Bottom line: I think NC is going to be very close, but I’ll go ahead and predict it for Obama because I’m feeling good this morning.
I’m having the same feelings about Indiana. Sure felt good voting this morning though!
Where’dcha get the map? I’d like to send ‘em out to the folks coming to tonight’s BAMABASH.
well done. with the probable exception of missouri it looks like your predictions were accurate.
North Dakota is a problem right? I lost my house pool on North Dakota. Turns out this was a good thing since the surprise prize for winning was a couple of ducks. No, I’m not joking.
real live ducks??
Yup. Real. Live. Ducks.
Sadly, it looks like I missed both ND and MO. ND was going a bit out on the limb, I must say, but I really thought MO was going to come through.