on question wording and push polls

For the past few years I have been placing questions on some statewide (North Carolina) polls on various areas, including human rights and collective bargaining for NC state employees. The last two were my own polls, carried out by Public Policy Polling under contract to me. As someone who cares about organized labor and has been active in related areas for a while, North Carolina’s General Statute §95-98, which prohibits collective bargaining by any public-sector employees groups, strikes me as draconian and backward. Some groups I like have worked to put HB1583 on the agenda, which would remove the ban on public employee collective bargaining.

Last week the John W. Pope Civitas Institute, which used to be a fairly interesting, principled Libertarian-oriented think tank on North Carolina Politics, but has recently veered toward toeing the Republican Party line, released a press release via their Red Clay Citizen blog claiming widespread opposition to allowing public employees their collective bargaining rights. Sadly, the question they used verges on push-polling:

SHOULD STATE EMPLOYEE AND TEACHERS’ UNIONS BE ALLOWED TO ENGAGE IN COLLECTIVE BARGAINING WITH ELECTED OFFICIALS THEY MIGHT ENDORSE IN ELECTIONS?

Happily, I have been running my polls with a much more neutrally-worded question:

As you may know, the State of North Carolina, towns, cities, and counties and other public workplaces in North Carolina are not allowed to negotiate or sign contracts with labor unions representing their employees. Would you support or oppose a law that would allow them to do so?

…and, perhaps not surprisingly, my results are dramatically different.

The Progressive Pulse, a North Carolina progressive blog run by NC Policy Watch, picked up my results. So far nothing on either of the polling results from the state’s mainstream press, which is pretty much par for the course; collective bargaining has been essentially off their radar screens from the beginning.

I strongly believe that my polling is better for whatever definition of “better” you prefer, but the sociological geek in me is also impressed at how very different the results can be when you ask questions in different ways. Actually in this case it’s really a priming effect. The Civitas poll framed the issue as one of government corruption–a hot topic in North Carolina, but not one that anybody has seriously raised about collective bargaining–and so evoked respondents’ concerns about corruption. Mine asked first and foremost about collective bargaining.

5 Comments

  1. Posted May 27, 2008 at 8:07 pm | Permalink

    So, if the question had “the State” instead of “elected officials they might endorse in elections,” would that have seemed fair?

  2. Posted May 28, 2008 at 6:10 am | Permalink

    Well it’s not necessarily the State, so that wouldn’t have been technically correct. But “their employers” or “state and local governments that employ them” or something like that, I suppose, would have worked fine.

  3. Posted May 28, 2008 at 6:51 pm | Permalink

    This has all become quite a brouhaha over at Red Clay Citizen, where Chris Hayes took issue with my accusation of push-polling (note that I only said it “verged” on it…): read the gory details, http://redclaycitizen.typepad.com/redclay/2008/05/what-is-a-push.html

  4. Posted May 28, 2008 at 7:52 pm | Permalink

    Wow – that was fast! A week on Scatterplot and you’re getting called out on another blog (and Scatterplot is being called your blog)! I am delighted to see you commanding a goodly share of the bloggerly attention market.

  5. Posted May 28, 2008 at 8:09 pm | Permalink

    Nicely done, Andy. You have really got their knockers in a twist.


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